So much for Big Data. If the poll of polls by the American pollsters can't even be close, then what's the likelihood that Big Data really works? Look at the election day chart - an 8 point lead on the part of the well-heeled pollsters.
I expect it is useful for managing the law of big numbers, which is another money-making scheme in its own right. It's little better than using the conversion rates when looking at advertising where the median CVR = 2.35%, top-quartile CVR = 5.31%. and top decile CVR = 11.45%.
Here we go again with the second sequel to Edge. Nonspoiler: At the end of Edge there was a decision. Simplified, it was whether to press a Blue button or a Red button. Each generates a course of action and they are described in the two follow up books. The Blue one is reasonably linear, but the Red one calls upon the history from the 22nd Century, described in Pulse.
They (Edge, Blue and Edge, Red) are not due for publication until 2021, but I might just release a few Advanced Reader Copies.
I decided to use The Triangle as a test, it being one of the thinner novels. Remarkably, I've managed to get all of it uploaded into Apple Podcasts, Amazon Podcasts, Tune-in and Spotify. -Its Free, of course. It is even possible to ask Alexa to start the podcast, although the section will be somewhat random.
Alongside the novel, I've made (so far) three short podcasts with a few observations about the process. Series 1 Episode 1 was also used to register the title and so on into the podcastiverse.
That's the edition that I recorded the voice on the left-hand channel of the podcast because I messed up.
We live and learn, which was pretty much my attitude to the process of getting the novel recorded. Now I've done a whole unedited book, I can take stock and review my own processes.
For those interested in statistics, there's around 238 pages in the book, which I recorded as 20 episodes. The Episodes vary from 11 minutes to around 30 minutes. It's about four and a half hours of playback and I would estimate each episode took about twice as long to record as the length of playback. That includes adding music, adjusting levels, a few splices of words and uploading it to the internet.
For whatever I choose to do next, I'll think a little more about 'performance qualities', but at this stage I was mainly interested in the mechanics of producing and distributing the podcasts.
I also want to thank Elizabeth James for putting me up to the idea of creating a podcast-based audiobook, which is also helpful towards partially-sighted folk.
If I edit in text mode it won't take the picture formats directly, but then when I switch to HTML mode I can see the vastly over-populated HTML that has been generated.
It's just annoying and takes my 10-minutes per post regime up to 20 minutes. Not cool. I then have to break up my writing to create extra line numbers so that I can add the pictures to the post. I suggest 'computers for the rest of us' needs to be re-launched.
I understand that everything has to be done in millenial-friendly 'blocks' now - which is what WordPress introduced via Gutenburg some time ago, but the effect is to add another layer of machinery between my thoughts and getting them recorded. I decided to use Divi to get around that in WordPress, but have not found something similar for Blogger.
I suppose everything is converging on the dumb formatting of Facebook, which runs everything into a single paragraph by default. It's all about the monetization isn't it?
Anyway, Mac Catalina attempts to protect from some of the worse excesses of sneaky developers, but it means that there's a few new safeguards that kick in. One is the Verification, which it will re-run on Excel and other Microsoft products after every update. I'm guessing it is a subtle way to remind us that there's serviceable word processors and spreadsheets in the native Mac Apps too, but sometimes MS Office compatibility has to be a 'given'.
Another new feature is the aggressive permission management by Apple. I noticed it first in Lightroom (I'm one of many) and to fix it I had to resort to command-line terminal and use of back-ticks (That's the key next to the Z on UK English keyboards). I looked at the lengthy fixes described in some of the posts and thought 'Nope, too many steps.'
Only by typing in the Terminal shell : diskutil resetUserPermissions `id -u` command could I get past the two error messages at the start of Lightroom.Some time ago I plonked all of my discovered weird start key sequences into a single document, which I keep in a plastic folder in a desk tray for that emergency use.
Here it is:
And I've added two actual Terminal commands now, just in case. The second one, to disable verification, is a blunt instrument - not recommended.
I've been having some fun with marketing recently, in an attempt to promote my various novels. It has all been in good fun, but as a result, I've increased my Advanced Reader mailing list from 17 people(!) to slightly over 1,100. Interestingly, I can also identify which books each person has selected.
I've also made the list a GDPR-compliant one, with proper opt-in and unsubscribe settings. Along the way, I discovered a few things which I wouldn't have thought would affect my rather basic marketing.