555 - election special - exit polls

It's illegal to announce exit polls before polling closes as they can impact on voter turnout. The popular view seems to be a 40 seat Labour majority. Exit polls have been wrong before - the US Presidential is a classic example. Not sure about this photomontgage of Tony...



The spread betting pre 22:00 is interesting with most going for a Labour majority between the high 80's and 90's. Higher than the exit poll.

Sunderland South is likely to be the first counted, with a 49.9% turnout. Predicted overall turnout is 65%, somewhat higher than the last time.